13. Belgaum Rural

Bharatiya Janata Party held the seat; the winning margin narrowed from 6.2% to 0.9%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 6.5% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• Runner-up changedSecond place passed from Indian National Congress (INC) to Independent (IND).
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 49.5% between them, down from 57.2% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.