31. Naigaum

Indian National Congress held the seat; the winning margin narrowed from 22.5% to 14.1%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 19.1% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 54.0% between them, down from 83.9% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.