13. Shriwardhan

Shiv Sena held the seat; the winning margin narrowed from 15.5% to 9.7%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 6.4% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 62.2% between them, down from 69.2% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.