26. Shella

United Democratic Party held the seat; the winning margin narrowed from 9.3% to 1.9%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 9.7% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• New challengerIndependent (IND) finished second with 30.2% — it did not contest here in 2008.
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 62.4% between them, down from 74.5% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.