52. Tamei

Independent held the seat; the winning margin narrowed from 9.2% to 0.8%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 21.8% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 47.4% between them, down from 82.6% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.