14. Saitual

PPC held the seat; the winning margin narrowed from 4.6% to 3.8%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 5.3% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 48.6% between them, down from 58.5% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.