15. Bagha Purana

Indian National Congress held the seat; the winning margin narrowed from 7.4% to 2.9%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 5.9% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 92.8% between them, down from 100.0% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.