118. Nokha

Independent held the seat; the winning margin narrowed from 6.5% to 1.9%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 15.3% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 34.8% between them, down from 60.7% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.