123. Padwa

Indian National Congress held the seat; the winning margin narrowed from 20.6% to 10.4%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 13.3% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 81.8% between them, down from 98.2% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.