313. Kaimganj

Independent held the seat; the winning margin narrowed from 12.8% to 3.6%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 8.4% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 48.4% between them, down from 55.9% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.