EElectionLens
Constituency

419. Muzaffarnagar

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Uttar Pradesh · India Lok Sabha Election, 2019

IN-MUZAFFARNAGAR

BJP 49.5%won by 0.6%RLD 48.9%

What changed here

Derived

Bharatiya Janata Party held the seat; the winning margin narrowed from 36.2% to 0.6%.

  • Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 9.5% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
  • New challengerRashtriya Lok Dal (RLD) finished second with 48.9% — it did not contest here in 2014.
  • Vote consolidatedThe top two candidates took 98.4% of the vote between them, up from 81.8% — a tighter two-way contest.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.

Electorate
16,98,003
Turnout
68.3%
Valid votes
11,60,071
Margin
6,526
0.56%

Since 2014

Derived
Winner then
BJP
Winner now
BJP
BJPRLD swing
−58.4%
BJP share
59.0% 49.5%
RLD share
0.0% 48.9%
Turnout
69.7% 68.3%