14. Goalpara East

Indian National Congress held the seat; the winning margin held roughly steady from 23.1% to 23.6%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 10.8% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 70.4% between them, down from 92.5% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.