18. Khalapur

Shiv Sena held the seat; the winning margin widened from 9.5% to 10.4%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 7.2% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 60.9% between them, down from 76.2% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.