5. Rajapur

Shiv Sena held the seat; the winning margin narrowed from 30.5% to 14.1%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 13.3% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 76.1% between them, down from 86.2% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.