123. Walgaon

Shiv Sena held the seat; the winning margin narrowed from 22.2% to 11.7%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 9.5% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• New challengerIndian National Congress (INC) finished second with 25.9% — it did not contest here in 1999.
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 63.4% between them, down from 71.9% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.