4. Nawapur

Indian National Congress held the seat; the winning margin narrowed from 11.0% to 5.2%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 13.1% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• New challengerIndependent (IND) finished second with 29.1% — it polled just 1.0% in 2014.
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 63.4% between them, down from 83.8% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.