406. Baghpat

Indian National Congress held the seat; the winning margin narrowed from 30.1% to 4.5%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 21.1% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 64.3% between them, down from 80.8% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.