486. Jalesar

Samajwadi Party held the seat; the winning margin widened from 0.4% to 1.2%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 6.8% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 64.5% between them, down from 78.9% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.