22. Ballimaran

Aam Aadmi Party held the seat; the winning margin narrowed from 35.6% to 30.3%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 6.7% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 85.7% between them, down from 93.7% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.