18. Bhandaripokhari

Janata Dal held the seat; the winning margin narrowed from 46.6% to 3.2%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 28.0% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 85.2% between them, down from 97.9% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.