22. Ballimaran

Indian National Congress held the seat; the winning margin widened from 7.6% to 9.1%.

• Won on a lower shareIts own vote share fell 5.9% — it held because the rest of the vote was more divided.
• Vote fragmentedThe top two took only 63.2% between them, down from 76.6% — the field split more ways.

Written from the constituency figures by a fixed set of rules — no language model.